I have thought long and hard about what MAY have caused this tragedy.
The police themselves have said that due to the total destruction of the premises, we may never know.
I was a buiding manager for a spell of 8 years. The job is complex, involving building maintenance, security, health, safety, hygiene, furnishings,decor. The building I was responsible for was an office block housing approx 150 workers on 3 floors and a basement. I used to compare it to 'running a hotel with no beds'. (just glad they went home nights
)
The manager was having staffing problems, and in job like that, responsible trained staff that jobs can be delegated to is essential, otherwise some things will be overlooked. (even forgetting to order toilet paper can be problematic)
He had 80 people to provide for - mainly elderly and some disabled - and he had to feed them as well! If he himself was untrained and had no mature staff he could delegate to, the job would have been too much to handle and some things would be bound to get neglected.
I anticipate a major problem was a building which was built to house one large family with servants. Putting 80 people in a place built for about 20 max is a recipe for problems. The practice of dividing large rooms into several much smaller rooms using wood partitions is a profit led practice. When that work was done in the past, profit was likely to be the only consideration.
Lifts are essential due to the age of the clientele to be attracted. Where to put them in an Edwardian mansion must have caused problems in itself - not always placed in the safest place. They are a route for fire to upper floors.
Building maintenance - how old was the electrical wiring, and when was it last inspected? If the manager was having difficulty keeping kitchen staff I surmise that he would not have even considered having it done. Perhaps higher management did that sort of thing out of season -hopefully. The window frames were well past their sell by date, so perhaps it wasnt.
When I was there I just got the impression that there was a lot of 'pennypinching'. Heating set at 'frostproof' level and watery fruit juices and such like. Elderly guests still need to be kept warm in all seasons. This summer has been much cooler than most. Maybe one of them bought a cheap heater from a bargain shop to heat their room, which could have overloaded wiring or set fire to bedding.
Another possibility is a discarded cigarette. The smoking ban wasn't in force when I stayed there. You could smoke in their rooms then - maybe still - I am unsure whether hotel rooms are regarded as 'home' for ban purposes, though many hotels operated a no smoking in bedrooms policy before the ban. So maybe ashtrays had been withdrawn from rooms. Some elderly person having dressed for bed and faced with a craving for a cigarette did not consider getting redressed to stand outside at midnight to smoke.
These are just a few possible causes which the scene investigators will be considering, and by being trained professionals they will know more possible causes that we would ever think of.
I remember having such a miserable cold week there, that at the time I would have come home if I had gone in my car, or even moved hotel if cost hadn't been a consideration.
Maybe that it is what this tragedy boils down to - costcutting - we may never know.
The lesson to be learned is dont stay in a hotel if you dont think it is safe