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Eric 14-01-2011 00:12

Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Just noticed the coverage of the by-election ... looks like your third party is taking a beating. Which leads me to ask again: "What is so frightening about a minority government?" It seems as if the drop in their popularity is linked directly to their, in my opinion, tying their fortunes to the tories.

Ken Moss 14-01-2011 06:21

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
The coalition government seems to be holding together surprisingly well but the Liberal Democrats have effectively finished themselves off by aligning themselves with the Conservatives for a sniff of power.

I hope they enjoy it because once the truce is called off I suspect that their third place will be a very distant one with voters.

jaysay 14-01-2011 09:03

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
None event of the year so far

cmonstanley 14-01-2011 11:22

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
looked like the tory voters aligned themselves with the lib dems:D





labour 1 con dem 0:mosher::mosher::mosher:

DaveinGermany 14-01-2011 12:01

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
From a turn out of 48.6% hardly a resounding reflection on any Political parties standing in the public eye, as some in political circles are wont to state "That means at least 51.4% didn't (couldn't be bothered to) vote !"

Alan Varrechia 14-01-2011 12:25

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
I blame 8 months of Tory rule.:hidewall::hidewall::hidewall::D:D

Ken Moss 14-01-2011 14:18

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by DaveinGermany (Post 875180)
From a turn out of 48.6% hardly a resounding reflection on any Political parties standing in the public eye, as some in political circles are wont to state "That means at least 51.4% didn't (couldn't be bothered to) vote !"

Staggeringly, that's not a bad turnout! The average figure for any election which isn't the General is usually around the 25-30% mark.

To put it in perspective, in Rishton last year we got the highest turnout in the whole of Hyndburn with 68%, still leaving a considerable number who didn't make their voices heard.

Eric 14-01-2011 17:12

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ken Moss (Post 875129)
The coalition government seems to be holding together surprisingly well but the Liberal Democrats have effectively finished themselves off by aligning themselves with the Conservatives for a sniff of power.

I hope they enjoy it because once the truce is called off I suspect that their third place will be a very distant one with voters.

On the question of the coalition holding together: how difficult would it be for the Liberal Democrats to bail? And if they did, would it mean a minority government, or, would the Conservatives head for the polls? And, while I'm at it, how would the electorate react to an election so soon after the last one?

jaysay 14-01-2011 17:39

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by cmonstanley (Post 875167)
looked like the tory voters aligned themselves with the lib dems:D





labour 1 con dem 0:mosher::mosher::mosher:

Looks like they didn't bother, and no its not Labour 1 Con/dems 0 Labour won the seat in May but as usually they found out their candidate was a lying cheating scumbag;)

Mancie 14-01-2011 17:44

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Eric (Post 875262)
On the question of the coalition holding together: how difficult would it be for the Liberal Democrats to bail? And if they did, would it mean a minority government, or, would the Conservatives head for the polls? And, while I'm at it, how would the electorate react to an election so soon after the last one?

It would be political suicide for the Lib-Dems to pull out of the Coalition....the way things have turned out the Lib-Dems need the Tories more than the Tories need them.
If the Coalition was to breakdown then it's likley the Tories would call a GE...the present polls show a Labour lead but the Toriy support has been stable...I reckon the Tories would gain a small overall majority if there was any election in the near future.

JCB 14-01-2011 17:53

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
The result will be a morale booster to Labour whose share of the vote is back to the 1997 landslide result .
There was a collapse in the Conservative vote , down from 26% to 12% . I think this is unusual in a bye-election so close to a General Election . They were down by more than 7000 votes , so they can't say that Conservative voters switched to the Liberal Democrats . If that was the case the Liberal Democrats would have won , but instead they were more than 3500 votes behind Labour . And remember that the Liberal Democrat boast used to be how well they did in bye-elections .

I think that the Coalition's mantra about the mess that Labour left behind is beginning to wear a bit thin . When people look at the USA , Ireland , Greece , Portugal , Spain , etc. they are reminded that the mess was a result of an international , global financial crisis .

Without doubt the Labour government made mistakes just like the Coalition is making , but in no way can it be made to share the full blame of what was a disaster for global capitalism .

Ken Moss 14-01-2011 17:53

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Eric (Post 875262)
On the question of the coalition holding together: how difficult would it be for the Liberal Democrats to bail? And if they did, would it mean a minority government, or, would the Conservatives head for the polls? And, while I'm at it, how would the electorate react to an election so soon after the last one?

My personal opinion is that bailing out would be seen as more pro-active and strong-willed than waiting for it to fall apart but there would still be no real benefits to them in doing so. I feel fairly certain that I won't see a Liberal Democrat government now in my lifetime.

As far as another election goes, speaking as a Labour man it's a double-edged sword. It doesn't seem unreasonable that Labour have a good chance of winning another General Election but campaigning is an expensive business for all concerned plus we'd have another bout of canvassing. The Hyndburn councillors have already had the General Election plus a by-election and now the upcoming local elections in May, it eats up your spare time and there's plenty to do in each ward as it is.

With the extensive coverage of the elections last year and local elections most years (including this year in May), we might find ourselves in a situation where voters just get completely fed up with it all if there's another national election so soon.

Just my musings. Other more experienced councillors might think differently.

Bernard Dawson 14-01-2011 17:58

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by JCB (Post 875277)
The result will be a morale booster to Labour whose share of the vote is back to the 1997 landslide result .
There was a collapse in the Conservative vote , down from 26% to 12% . I think this is unusual in a bye-election so close to a General Election . They were down by more than 7000 votes , so they can't say that Conservative voters switched to the Liberal Democrats . If that was the case the Liberal Democrats would have won , but instead they were more than 3500 votes behind Labour . And remember that the Liberal Democrat boast used to be how well they did in bye-elections .

I think that the Coalition's mantra about the mess that Labour left behind is beginning to wear a bit thin . When people look at the USA , Ireland , Greece , Portugal , Spain , etc.
they are reminded that the mess was a result of an international , global financial crisis .
Without doubt the Labour government made mistakes just like the Coalition is making , but in no way can it be made to share the full blame of what was a disaster for global capitalism .

A bigger majority last night than in the 1997 landslide. Although the share of the vote as you say was about the same.

Ken Moss 14-01-2011 17:58

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jaysay (Post 875272)
Looks like they didn't bother, and no its not Labour 1 Con/dems 0 Labour won the seat in May but as usually they found out their candidate was a lying cheating scumbag;)

'As usual'? That doesn't exactly paint Graham Jones in an honest light, does it?

Mind you, fair's fair. Conservatives never lie, look at the heavy taxation being levied on the bankers, just like they said they would when they were in opposition.

jaysay 14-01-2011 18:09

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ken Moss (Post 875282)
'As usual'? That doesn't exactly paint Graham Jones in an honest light, does it?

Mind you, fair's fair. Conservatives never lie, look at the heavy taxation being levied on the bankers, just like they said they would when they were in opposition.

Nothing to do with Graham Jones, and when it comes to bending the truth Labour did that for thirteen years and it cost use very dear, the worst economic statistics every met by any incoming government in history

Ken Moss 14-01-2011 18:16

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jaysay (Post 875286)
Nothing to do with Graham Jones, and when it comes to bending the truth Labour did that for thirteen years and it cost use very dear, the worst economic statistics every met by any incoming government in history

Just play that record one more time, baby. Not quite sick of hearing it yet.

Can we get it on the Accyweb jukebox?

jaysay 14-01-2011 18:22

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ken Moss (Post 875288)
Just play that record one more time, baby. Not quite sick of hearing it yet.

Can we get it on the Accyweb jukebox?

Just as bad as you continually bickering about Britcliffe, is he a fetish or summat

Eric 14-01-2011 18:27

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by JCB (Post 875277)
The result will be a morale booster to Labour whose share of the vote is back to the 1997 landslide result .
There was a collapse in the Conservative vote , down from 26% to 12% . I think this is unusual in a bye-election so close to a General Election . They were down by more than 7000 votes , so they can't say that Conservative voters switched to the Liberal Democrats . If that was the case the Liberal Democrats would have won , but instead they were more than 3500 votes behind Labour . And remember that the Liberal Democrat boast used to be how well they did in bye-elections .

I think that the Coalition's mantra about the mess that Labour left behind is beginning to wear a bit thin . When people look at the USA , Ireland , Greece , Portugal , Spain , etc. they are reminded that the mess was a result of an international , global financial crisis .

Without doubt the Labour government made mistakes just like the Coalition is making , but in no way can it be made to share the full blame of what was a disaster for global capitalism .

I agree with the "global financial crisis" thing ... so obvious it's a no-brainer. As an aside, I would like to point out that Canada, with its resource-based economy, and its controled banks and financial sector survived the crisis almost unscathed ... in fact, it looks like we will make a profit on the Chrysler bail out ... and we did all this with a minority government.

I also happen to believe from what I have observed and studied from a distance, that the coalition's economic moves have more to do with tory ideology than they have with economics.

Eric 14-01-2011 18:33

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mancie (Post 875275)
It would be political suicide for the Lib-Dems to pull out of the Coalition....the way things have turned out the Lib-Dems need the Tories more than the Tories need them.
If the Coalition was to breakdown then it's likley the Tories would call a GE...the present polls show a Labour lead but the Toriy support has been stable...I reckon the Tories would gain a small overall majority if there was any election in the near future.

It's possible that it could be political suicide ... but there are other scenarios. If Clegg can convince his supporters and the uncommited voters that his leaving the coalition is a matter of principle, rather than opportunism, it might work in his favour. An opportunity will present itself when the tories introduce another round of cuts, esp. if those cuts are in the NHS.

Ken Moss 14-01-2011 18:36

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jaysay (Post 875290)
Just as bad as you continually bickering about Britcliffe, is he a fetish or summat

The difference being that each complaint about the Leader of the Council always yields a new fruit, such is the variety of the man's rather underhand politics. The squadron of Tory councillors despatched to the Market Hall on Tuesday following the submission of my motion to full council has thrown up some very interesting questions from traders which I look forward to investigating.

In contrast, your oft-repeated singular attack on the Labour administration is '13 years of bad financial management'. I suspect that those who read Accyweb now have a vague idea of what you consider to be the last government's failings.

jaysay 14-01-2011 18:40

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ken Moss (Post 875301)
The difference being that each complaint about the Leader of the Council always yields a new fruit, such is the variety of the man's rather underhand politics. The squadron of Tory councillors despatched to the Market Hall on Tuesday following the submission of my motion to full council has thrown up some very interesting questions from traders which I look forward to investigating.

In contrast, your oft-repeated singular attack on the Labour administration is '13 years of bad financial management'. I suspect that those who read Accyweb now have a vague idea of what you consider to be the last government's failings.

As they have about your feelings towards PB:rolleyes:

Ken Moss 14-01-2011 18:44

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jaysay (Post 875303)
As they have about your feelings towards PB:rolleyes:

I should hope so too. I want the true meaning of the lyrics conjured up by the man who writes the songs for Hyndburn well known by all those who pay taxes. If his use of public funds is so much better than Labour's 13 years of 'financial mis-management' then he should have nothing to hide and should actually be rather pleased that I'm doing his advertising for him.

With that in mind, I do find it odd that my scrutiny of his spending causes such resentment.

JCB 14-01-2011 18:44

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ken Moss (Post 875282)
'As usual'? That doesn't exactly paint Graham Jones in an honest light, does it?
.

What has a comment on the discredited ex-MP for Oldham East got to do with Graham Jones who hasn't been referred to on this thread until you mentioned him ? :confused:

jaysay 14-01-2011 18:49

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ken Moss (Post 875305)
I should hope so too. I want the true meaning of the lyrics conjured up by the man who writes the songs for Hyndburn well known by all those who pay taxes. If his use of public funds is so much better than Labour's 13 years of 'financial mismanagement' then he should have nothing to hide and should actually be rather pleased that I'm doing his advertising for him.

With that in mind, I do find it odd that my scrutiny of his spending causes such resentment.

Nothing to do with spending its your aberrant hatred for him that sticks out if you can't see it take a long hard look at yourself your in the wrong job

Ken Moss 14-01-2011 18:58

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jaysay (Post 875309)
Nothing to do with spending its your aberrant hatred for him that sticks out if you can't see it take a long hard look at yourself your in the wrong job

That's the Peter in you talking again. I simply don't care for his style of politics or his methods.

If you think I have some sort of personal reason for having a go at a man I barely know outside of the council chamber then perhaps it's you who should think about the value of your knowledge of political goings on, not me.

claytonender 14-01-2011 21:22

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Eric (Post 875297)
It's possible that it could be political suicide ... but there are other scenarios. If Clegg can convince his supporters and the uncommited voters that his leaving the coalition is a matter of principle, rather than opportunism, it might work in his favour. An opportunity will present itself when the tories introduce another round of cuts, esp. if those cuts are in the NHS.

I rather think Nick Clegg would have difficulties convincing his supporters, and the uncommitted voters, that he was leaving the coalition as a matter of principle rather than opportunism. Because many people regard his joining the coalition, in the first place, as opportunism -he has sacrificed his party on the altar of his personal ambition.

jaysay 15-01-2011 09:10

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by claytonender (Post 875356)
I rather think Nick Clegg would have difficulties convincing his supporters, and the uncommitted voters, that he was leaving the coalition as a matter of principle rather than opportunism. Because many people regard his joining the coalition, in the first place, as opportunism -he has sacrificed his party on the altar of his personal ambition.

A bit like Brown and Blair did back in the 90s they sold there principle down the river on the back of electability, which all you local activist agreed with until it started going belly up then you didn't want to know. There was a big C change from all your leaflets at local elections featuring "A message from Tony Blair" to we are only interest in local issues, ya reght;)

jaysay 15-01-2011 09:21

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ken Moss (Post 875312)
That's the Peter in you talking again. I simply don't care for his style of politics or his methods.

If you think I have some sort of personal reason for having a go at a man I barely know outside of the council chamber then perhaps it's you who should think about the value of your knowledge of political goings on, not me.

Lets look at it in depth, you've been a councillor 8 months and you know all the answers, Britcliffe as been a councillor 28 years, not in a safe seat like Bash but in St Andrews Ward, when Labour had a 41 seat majority Labour still couldn't get rid of him, they've never even come close, wonder why. Some years ago I was having a pint in my local the Stop in Ossy and an old friend came in, after an exchange of pleasantries, as you do, he just said "I see yon Mon's putting up again" who I asked, "Britcliffe", after a short pause he carried on "can't stand the bloke" each to his own I replied, another pause "but I always vote for him":confused: why I asked "because he's the only beggar that gets out done";)

Ken 15-01-2011 10:34

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jaysay (Post 875428)
Lets look at it in depth, you've been a councillor 8 months and you know all the answers, Britcliffe as been a councillor 28 years, not in a safe seat like Bash but in St Andrews Ward, when Labour had a 41 seat majority Labour still couldn't get rid of him, they've never even come close, wonder why. Some years ago I was having a pint in my local the Stop in Ossy and an old friend came in, after an exchange of pleasantries, as you do, he just said "I see yon Mon's putting up again" who I asked, "Britcliffe", after a short pause he carried on "can't stand the bloke" each to his own I replied, another pause "but I always vote for him":confused: why I asked "because he's the only beggar that gets out done";)

I'm not denying his ability to get things done and I'm sure the good people of St Andrews are well looked after but the problem is that there are 15 other wards which make up Hyndburn and he is supposed to be Leader of them all.

It's easy to look after your ward when you control the money and it hasn't taken me 8 months to work that out.

Ken Moss 15-01-2011 10:38

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Mods, somehow I've managed to create a second profile by logging in incorrectly. Could you do something about it for me please?

jaysay 15-01-2011 14:46

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ken Moss (Post 875449)
Mods, somehow I've managed to create a second profile by logging in incorrectly. Could you do something about it for me please?

For a minite I thought of God no he's got a clone:unsure8::unsure8::unsure8::D

jaysay 15-01-2011 14:49

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ken (Post 875448)
I'm not denying his ability to get things done and I'm sure the good people of St Andrews are well looked after but the problem is that there are 15 other wards which make up Hyndburn and he is supposed to be Leader of them all.

It's easy to look after your ward when you control the money and it hasn't taken me 8 months to work that out.

You've been there 8 months, he's been there 28 years and maybe, just maybe he remembers when year after year Ossy got the mucky end of the stick, not for 8 months but year after year after year:rolleyes:

Ken Moss 15-01-2011 14:58

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jaysay (Post 875548)
You've been there 8 months, he's been there 28 years and maybe, just maybe he remembers when year after year Ossy got the mucky end of the stick, not for 8 months but year after year after year:rolleyes:

Ah, so two wrongs make a right?

So many things to learn about politics!

;)

jaysay 15-01-2011 15:03

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ken Moss (Post 875554)
Ah, so two wrongs make a right?

So many things to learn about politics!

;)

Well it aways does when Labour are on the good side but not when the Tories are in the same boat, and yes your quite right, a hell of a lot;)

James1234 17-01-2011 01:58

Re: Oldham East & Saddleworth
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ken Moss (Post 875204)
Staggeringly, that's not a bad turnout! The average figure for any election which isn't the General is usually around the 25-30% mark.

To put it in perspective, in Rishton last year we got the highest turnout in the whole of Hyndburn with 68%, still leaving a considerable number who didn't make their voices heard.

Yes I would thought more would have turned out, with the amount of canversing that went on was remarkable (I live in Shaw, which falls within the Oldham East and Saddleworth constuancy), I received no shotage of leaflets and 'newspaper' type information. The fact that a Labour candidate(Debbie Abrahams) was elected was no suprise as labour is in the blood of many within these areas of Oldham.


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