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-   -   How many points will get us in play-offs? (https://www.accringtonweb.com/forum/f93/how-many-points-will-get-us-in-play-offs-68115.html)

cashman 21-03-2016 14:10

How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
What yeh reckon? last season 71 pts did it i think, think it will be more this time? I think at least 76 should do it? Which means another 4 wins in last 9 games, if so thats well do-able? i aint ruled automatics out, but wherever we finish it will have been n amazing season.:)

AsFc62 21-03-2016 14:49

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
I agree cashy, Win half games so 4 or 5 will for me guarentee play offs. either 76 or 79 points.

For automatics we need to win 6-8 games which with this group of players is not beyond the realms of possibility.

Looking on last few seasons Between 82-85 will do for automatics

ON STANLEY ON

Jim Procter 21-03-2016 14:55

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Why do you want promotion?If you are realistic you know that we havent got the big enough fan base to be successful in that league. Better still to stay where we are and continue to have the most amazing seasons we have all enjoyed.

AsFc62 21-03-2016 14:58

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
FAN BASE will remain, quality of squad has no correlation.

WE'RE GOING UP!

cashman 21-03-2016 15:00

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jim Procter (Post 1164406)
Why do you want promotion?If you are realistic you know that we havent got the big enough fan base to be successful in that league. Better still to stay where we are and continue to have the most amazing seasons we have all enjoyed.

Thats a daft comment, to create history simple as.:rolleyes: most dont expect promotion given our resources, but enjoy the ride what happens happens,

AccyMad 21-03-2016 15:35

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jim Procter (Post 1164406)
Why do you want promotion?If you are realistic you know that we havent got the big enough fan base to be successful in that league. Better still to stay where we are and continue to have the most amazing seasons we have all enjoyed.

Realistic? We're Stanley fans - we stopped being realistic the minute Paul Mullin won us promotion to the league at Woking! No-one gave us a cat in hells chance of staying & yet, here we are 10 years on & still enjoying the ride :D

Gremlin 21-03-2016 15:49

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Would Accrington Stanley get a decent payment for going up a league as they do in the Championship.

cashman 21-03-2016 15:59

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Gremlin (Post 1164411)
Would Accrington Stanley get a decent payment for going up a league as they do in the Championship.

As far as i know yeh, not as much obviously but think it increases. plus all payments increase next season whatever i believe.:)

andyd 21-03-2016 16:42

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
I think. 3rd place is now between us Bristol and Plymouth 81 points would mean Pompey having to win 7 out of 9 games left with 5 winnable home games for us it,s in our own hands now playoffs I think 76 points will be enough but let,s get in that top 3 let,s get behind the team now and cheer them over the line.

mab 21-03-2016 17:16

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
:) Wycombe away it's written in the stars... remember Woking!!! :)

Exile on Spencer St 21-03-2016 17:41

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Last three seasons have required 71-71-69 points to make seventh spot, and 85-81-78 for third place. Very competitive season with several teams still fighting for promotion might suggest it may be fewer points than last year?

As for the stars, I hope you're right, Mab, but is it the Voodoo Gods of Football who picked the opponents for Stanley's final game....?:eek:

Chewbacca 21-03-2016 19:12

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
73/74 is projected for 7th and 81 for 3rd.

cashman 21-03-2016 19:19

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chewbacca (Post 1164428)
73/74 is projected for 7th and 81 for 3rd.

That would be great. Bristol Rovers n Plymouth on paper have tough run ins,so owts possible.

Inspector Morse 21-03-2016 20:40

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by cashman (Post 1164429)
That would be great. Bristol Rovers n Plymouth on paper have tough run ins,so owts possible.

Have another look at Bristol's run in its by far and away the easiest of the three. They must have had a bit of jam to win 5 on the bounce so hopefully they will have used their luck up.

I guess all we can do is take it game by game now and try and win every one. Simple.

cashman 21-03-2016 21:04

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Inspector Morse (Post 1164433)
Have another look at Bristol's run in its by far and away the easiest of the three.

matter of opinion away to Carlilse n Northants are 2 bitches in my view.

baldy 22-03-2016 07:17

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Hopefully by the time we play Hartlepool, York, Wycombe and Stevenage they all have nothing to play for or relegated already and they've got their flip flops on thinking of summer destinations!

Inspector Morse 22-03-2016 07:19

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Carlisle is a bitch for us no question but other sides seem able to cope with their roughousing better than us. Hope you're right though.

monkey hanger 22-03-2016 08:44

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Bristol rovers seem to be the form team at the moment with Plymouths form going the other way. obviously Portsmouth are not as good as they were against us but usually for Stanley we will need more points than normal to go straight up or even getting into the play-offs. 84 for straight up and 76 for play offs for me.

Chewbacca 22-03-2016 20:12

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
After 37 games

____2012/13__2013/14 _2014/15_2015/16
3rd____62_____65_______68______65
7th____59_____54_______57______59


After 46 games

_____2012/13_2013/14_2014/15
3rd____78______81_____85
7th____69______71_____71


Based on Median Points Gain 2015/16
3rd 81
7th 73

Based on Mean Points Gain 2015/16
3rd 81 (81.33)
7th 73 (72.67)

Based On % of Total Gain
3rd 81 (81.33)
7th 73 (73.23)

3rd place increases were from 24.6% to 25.8% so very close, the highest increase would give 82 (81.77) points.

7th place increases had a much bigger variance from 16.9% to 31.5%, and the highest would mean 78 points (77.57).

However most projections concur on the 81 and 73 for Auto and Play-offs respectively.

Bob Dobson 23-03-2016 09:26

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Have the play-off final dates been announced ? I want to plan my diary and keep the League 2 final day clear

Red-Osbornello 23-03-2016 09:49

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Bob Dobson (Post 1164546)
Have the play-off final dates been announced ? I want to plan my diary and keep the League 2 final day clear

Sky Bet League 2 – Match A
Leg 1: Thursday 12th May (7.45pm)
Leg 2: Sunday 15th May (6.00pm)

Sky Bet League 2 – Match B
Leg 1: Saturday 14th May (7.30pm)
Leg 2: Wednesday 18th May (7.45pm)

Sky Bet League 2 Play-Off Final
Monday 30th May (3.00pm)

maccawozzagod 23-03-2016 10:07

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Lets hope we arent match A or I'll be missing the 2nd leg :-(

smobile 23-03-2016 11:53

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Usual format is

Leg 1

Match A will be 7th v 4th
Match B will be 6th v 5th

Leg 2

Match A will be 4th v 7th
Match B will be 5th v 6th

Bob Dobson 23-03-2016 13:54

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Blast - I cannot attend Wembley on Monday 30th May.

Outback Ozzy 23-03-2016 14:32

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Bob Dobson (Post 1164565)
Blast - I cannot attend Wembley on Monday 30th May.

Lets hope you don't need to go to Wembley then, lets all hope for an automatic promotion spot.:D

cashman 28-03-2016 15:52

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Inspector Morse (Post 1164446)
Carlisle is a bitch for us no question but other sides seem able to cope with their roughousing better than us. Hope you're right though.

Yer hope was correct.:D:D

st06nc2 28-03-2016 16:54

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
11 points ahead
21 points to play for
So 10 point should seal playoffs

Chimer 28-03-2016 16:58

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
After Leyton and Wycombe dropped points today, 76 should be plenty. 82 is absolute certainty, 81 unless there is a remarkable goal difference swing. Wycombe's current max possible is 82, Carlisle's 81, Leyton's 80. Beat two of those and we're in the playoffs ..... but our sights must be firmly on automatic now.

LongLostSon 29-03-2016 14:26

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Remaining fixtures of main rivals :
Oxford : A-Crawley H-Luton A-Newport H-H'pool A-Carlisle H-Wycombe

Bristol R: H-Crawley A-N'pton H-YeovA-Stev'ge H-Exetr A-York H-Daggers

Plymouth: A-Exetr H-W'don A-Pompey A-Orient H-Daggs A-Cambs H-Hpool

Portsmouth: H-Carlisle A-Daggs H-Plymth A-York H-WycW A-Hpool H-N'ton & A-Wimbledon


So roll up your sleeves Stanley 'cos runners up defo on :jimbo:

Inspector Morse 29-03-2016 14:33

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by cashman (Post 1165063)
Yer hope was correct.:D:D

Hope you're right about Nhampton too.

Outback Ozzy 29-03-2016 21:59

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by LongLostSon (Post 1165127)
Remaining fixtures of main rivals :
Oxford : A-Crawley H-Luton A-Newport H-H'pool A-Carlisle H-Wycombe

Bristol R: H-Crawley A-N'pton H-YeovA-Stev'ge H-Exetr A-York H-Daggers

Plymouth: A-Exetr H-W'don A-Pompey A-Orient H-Daggs A-Cambs H-Hpool

Portsmouth: H-Carlisle A-Daggs H-Plymth A-York H-WycW A-Hpool H-N'ton & A-Wimbledon


So roll up your sleeves Stanley 'cos runners up defo on :jimbo:

Seems like the resurgent Hartlepool can have a big say on who gets to the auto promotion and who gets into the play offs. They have to play 4 out of the 5 teams from 2nd down to 6th including us. Should be an interesting ride for Stanley fans.

ossy kid 04-04-2016 00:10

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
My guess-
1-Northampton 92 pts
2-Oxford 87 pts
3-Bristol 84 pts
4-Stanley 83 pts
5-Plymouth 80 pts
6-Portsmouth 80 pts
7-Wycombe & Leyton Orient both 72 pts

So third is def. doable with a bit of luck and lots of heart.

cashman 11-04-2016 12:32

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Reckon it would be very ironic,if we needed a result from our last match against Satanage for automatic promotion.:eek: Looking at the other fixtures, i reckon we are defo in play-offs now?

Exile on Spencer St 11-04-2016 12:55

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Exile on Spencer St (Post 1164415)
...As for the stars, I hope you're right, Mab, but is it the Voodoo Gods of Football who picked the opponents for Stanley's final game....?:eek:

Quote:

Originally Posted by cashman (Post 1166026)
Reckon it would be very ironic,if we needed a result from our last match against Satanage for automatic promotion.:eek:


Cashy, poke not the Voodoo Gods of Football! :worthy:

cashman 11-04-2016 13:04

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Exile on Spencer St (Post 1166027)




Cashy, poke not the Voodoo Gods of Football! :worthy:

I would love to poke them horrible gits.;)

Chimer 11-04-2016 14:42

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
The current answer to the original question is 78 ... for absolute certainty. 76 unless Wycombe and Exeter both win their last 5 games.

cashman 11-04-2016 14:49

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Exeter have Nhants n Bristol R. to play, Wycombe got Pompey,Oxford n Stanley so they are most unlikely to win em all imho. wimbledon got Pompey n Leyton O, Pompey got a nightmare run in.

baldy 11-04-2016 16:40

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Stanley - Morecambe, Hartlepool, York, Wycombe, Stevenage.

Bristol Rovers - Yeovil, Stevenage, Exeter, York, Dagenham.

Plymouth - Portsmouth, Leyton Orient, Dagenham, Cambridge, Hartlepool

Portsmouth - Plymouth, York, Wycombe, Wimbledon, Hartlepool, Northampton.

LongLostSon 11-04-2016 21:17

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Oxford's last 2 at least don't look to be guaranteed max points & Bristol have two nearish derbies amid their easier looking run in. We haven't been trashing teams like those two but I'm reminded of the tortoise / hare outcome. Gonna be tight I think and apart from hoping to be at Wycombe, I'm saving my pension for either a trip 'home' (if a win agin Stevenage would see us promoted) or a visit to Wembly. Just ordered my mugshot from Tony (Kipax) of that day at Woking - d'ya sense I'm getting excited ?

Chimer 11-04-2016 21:26

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by LongLostSon (Post 1166057)
Oxford's last 2 at least don't look to be guaranteed max points & Bristol have two nearish derbies amid their easier looking run in. We haven't been trashing teams like those two but I'm reminded of the tortoise / hare outcome. Gonna be tight I think and apart from hoping to be at Wycombe, I'm saving my pension for either a trip 'home' (if a win agin Stevenage would see us promoted) or a visit to Wembly. Just ordered my mugshot from Tony (Kipax) of that day at Woking - d'ya sense I'm getting excited ?

I'm thinking similarly. But however handy it is, what I really don't want is a playoff semi-final at Fratton :eek:

Outback Ozzy 11-04-2016 22:57

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Time to close this thread Moderator! Or alternatively rename to how many points to automatic promotion!
The way I see it is we will finish with 85 points, Bristol Rovers will finish with 81 points, Plymouth and Portsmouth could be discounted as their run ins are horrendous and as Pompey have to play both Plymouth and Northampton I cannot see either team getting more than 80 points maximum. It all depends on Oxford and how they finish as to whether we are 2nd or 3rd.

AccyMad 12-04-2016 06:33

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
I like you're thinking Ozzy :) - I'm still not brave enough to think the 'P' word never mind say it out loud but am getting up the nerve to peek over the parapet & think maybe, just maybe it could be our year :hidewall:

Revived Red 12-04-2016 08:14

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Outback Ozzy (Post 1166062)
Time to close this thread Moderator! Or alternatively rename to how many points to automatic promotion!
The way I see it is we will finish with 85 points, Bristol Rovers will finish with 81 points, Plymouth and Portsmouth could be discounted as their run ins are horrendous and as Pompey have to play both Plymouth and Northampton I cannot see either team getting more than 80 points maximum. It all depends on Oxford and how they finish as to whether we are 2nd or 3rd.

What was that little proverb about not counting chickens?? :confused:

Chimer 12-04-2016 08:33

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
I'm struggling to see where Brizzle are likely to drop any points, let alone 6. Yes they will probably have a blip somewhere along the way, but then you have to expect so will everybody else .... ooh me fingernails :eek:

baldy 12-04-2016 08:34

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Trying not to be too confident but a few stats...We've scored in every home game this season and conceded 1 goal in our last 5 games!

Morecambe haven't kept a clean sheet since 2 January, 18 games ago!

Whatever you do just make sure you drag everyone you know up to The Wham Stadium on Saturday afternoon!

monkey hanger 12-04-2016 08:54

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by cashman (Post 1166026)
Reckon it would be very ironic,if we needed a result from our last match against Satanage for automatic promotion.:eek: Looking at the other fixtures, i reckon we are defo in play-offs now?

I agree totally. problem is will we get enough points to go up automatically. still never forgot the two Stevenage games. most expect us to win our remaining home games but we,ve been let down at home before and its the away games where we,ve had our best results. just don,t fancy us in the play offs especially if we finish 4th and just miss out. I know I,m a bit of a conspiracy theory nut but do the fa want us or pompey at Wembley or sky for that matter.

Outback Ozzy 12-04-2016 08:58

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chimer (Post 1166075)
I'm struggling to see where Brizzle are likely to drop any points, let alone 6. Yes they will probably have a blip somewhere along the way, but then you have to expect so will everybody else .... ooh me fingernails :eek:

Bristol, like us have 3 home and 2 away matches to go. 2 o the home matches are against Exeter and Yeovil, ie 2 west country derbies. I can also see them dropping points against Satanage, whereas, Stanley will possibly drop points against Hartlepool (I certainly hope not), but I'm with Kipax on this one, we will win promotion after the Wycombe game and before we play the last match against said Satanage.

cashman 12-04-2016 09:20

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
I'm certainly hoping we can manage automatics, aint very optimistic oer the play-offs.:eek:

smudgie 12-04-2016 09:38

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Love the fact everyone calls that "club" Satanage :D

AccyMad 12-04-2016 10:51

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by baldy (Post 1166076)
Trying not to be too confident but a few stats...We've scored in every home game this season and conceded 1 goal in our last 5 games!

Morecambe haven't kept a clean sheet since 2 January, 18 games ago!

Whatever you do just make sure you drag everyone you know up to The Wham Stadium on Saturday afternoon!

Take a peek at ShrimpsVoices - loving their predictions thread for Saturday, bless 'em!
One just says 'We'll start with 11 on the pitch & after that .....' - classic :D

cashman 12-04-2016 11:38

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by AccyMad (Post 1166089)
Take a peek at ShrimpsVoices - loving their predictions thread for Saturday, bless 'em!
One just says 'We'll start with 11 on the pitch & after that .....' - classic :D

Fair play they are only being realistic.:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D

Redraine 12-04-2016 14:47

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by cashman (Post 1166091)
Fair play they are only being realistic.:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D

We mustn't underestimate them. They score a lot of goals with Devitt, Barkhuizen, Miller, etc., and have Miller only just behind Billy in the charts. On the other hand they have a crap defence , and a manager under fire from their fans who would normally have been fired by now were it not for the uncertainty about new ownership. The only thing that really bothers me is our ability to cock things up at home when expectations are sky high. However, I'm sure Coley will banish all thoughts of complacency.:D

Snarling Mallard 12-04-2016 16:53

Re: How many points will get us in play-offs?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jim Procter (Post 1164406)
Why do you want promotion?If you are realistic you know that we havent got the big enough fan base to be successful in that league. Better still to stay where we are and continue to have the most amazing seasons we have all enjoyed.

The missus tells me that if I have nowt to say I should say nowt - hence I seldom say much on here (that and not having much t'net access) but have to respond to such a daft comment.
Did that stop Wimbledon or Wigan reaching the the top flight and winning trophies ?
Believe it or not some folk (glory hunters to start maybe - but then they may eventually become die hard fans) are attracted to watching successful teams and that success helps to build a fan base. Even Liverpool and Man United had to start somewhere.


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