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Old 13-07-2008, 19:38   #72
andrewb
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Re: David Davis wins by-election

Quote:
Originally Posted by Wynonie Harris View Post
Cyfr, I regard opinion polls with the utmost scepticism (and certainly one run by an organisation called ConservativeHome!). After all, the opinion polls predicted that Labour was going to win in 1992. As for the people you talked to in Davis's constituency, I think they told a naive young lad what he wanted to hear. I live in the ordinary, everyday world and not in the rarified atmosphere of student politics and I know that whether a suspected terrorist is locked up for 28 days or 43 days is way, way down on people's list of priorities at the moment - and that includes most Conservative supporters!
It was real politics not textbook politics. The polls that I quoted were correct on Crewe and Nantwich & Henley, using new techniques not used in 1992. The ConservativeHome guy that did the poll was one of the few in support of 42 days, so had no reason to 'corrupt' the poll.

I'm sure you're too high on your non-student horse to accept it though so I guess we'll have to agree to disagree.
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