Quote:
Originally Posted by g jones
This was the third such model. The big date for the real thing is 12 September. It all comes about because the coalition want to diminish Labours electoral advantage gained by the current variable sizes in seats and have passed a bill.
It excludes the 3.5m people unregistered mainly in urban areas and there is the rub. That and the fact that 2 Lib Dem island seats in Scotland are being allowed to carry on below the new 75,000 size (30,000 and 20,000) and the Isle of Wight at 100,000 (Tory) is being divided into two.
The popular view is Ross and Darwen will go and Preston North and Wyre will go to make the larger seat numbers. Everyone else will have to shuffle around.
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I'd say you can stick at least another million on the figure of 3.5m unregistered voters and most of those would be in rural areas.. boundary changes are not an exact science if we rely on the voting register or even the census.. win some lose some but never known of a change that has ever benefited the opposition.