Playoffs

Can we make the playoffs

  • Yes

    Votes: 18 64.3%

  • No

    Votes: 10 35.7%
  • Total voters
    28
Lord Didsbury said:
Just to re-convince myself about this playoff improbability.....

IF we win our two games in hand we would be 7 points off 7th and 9 points off 4th. (Ignore any teams between 7th and us. They are irrelevant, since for this to work we will be steaming past them anyway.)

So, that's 4 teams we could theoretically catch, but only 9 games left.

The teams we could catch have averaged 1.55 points/game so far. You'd think that in the remaining games some teams will average, say, 1.7 points/game whilst the others 1.3.

this means the worst of those teams might get 12 points. But since we can't choose which of those four teams only gets 12 points, lets say we need another point to be sure.

Therefore, we need to get 12+1+7 to catch them. 20 points from 9 games..... which means 26 points from 11.

We need 8 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat from the remaining games and then fingers crossed on goal difference.

IF we win the next three games then I'll change my mind, but it's an impossible task at this point.
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What's with all the stats? Not related to Somerset are you
 
If we win on Saturday (and we will if Seamus is fit) the big test will be how Exeter, Luton and Carlisle do. They all have easy games.

I reckon if one or two slip up then the match on Tuesday will suddenly assume titanic significance. The people of Accrington will be roused from their apathy at the thought that the impossible dream may be on

Ed Sheeran won't be the only ginger playing to a packed house. Bradley Halliday will too.

It will be a night to remember if we win. An unstoppable bandwagon will be on the move.

We will be on the edge of invincibility.
 
Lord Didsbury said:
If we win on Saturday (and we will if Seamus is fit) the big test will be how Exeter, Luton and Carlisle do. They all have easy games.
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Lord D! We all know from bitter experience - THERE ARE NO EASY GAMES!
Remember Newport!!!!!
There'll be many a twist & turn before the season is out.
Remember back in August when we played Morecambe at home?
They were then riding high at the top of the league & turned round a 2 goal deficit to win 2-3.
Now, we're above them in the league. How are the mighty fallen.
We can't influence other games, but if we can maintain the fantastic confidence that has now infected our team, who knows where that momentum will end?
If, by some miraculous fate, we scraped into seventh spot, it would surely be ranked as the greatest comeback in football history.
 
Remember back in August when we played Morecambe at home?
They were then riding high at the top of the league & turned round a 2 goal deficit to win 2-3.
Now, we're above them in the league. How are the mighty fallen.

the mighty always seem to start well, get enough points to be safe and then fall away. first half of season season tickets should sell like hot shrimps up there.
 
Alfred . E. Is back !.. so I mentioned the possibility of the Reds making the playoffs to him .
Being the eternal pessimist he is he merely replied ' you do the Math...do the Math !'.
The more I view his New York colloquialism, and whilst really not wanting to take any notice of him, I am, after reading the whichevers and whatevers on our Forum and viewing the League 2 scene in general, becoming more and more convinced that in spite of everyone's fervent hopes the playoffs have now vanished into sunset's fading glow !.

He ..( Alfred.E. that is !), went on to advise me that I should just be content with what our Team have achieved over the last ten games, look forward to Tuesday evening's game, and count myself lucky that I am still able to get to the Crown and support the Club I have admired one way or another for so many years !.

Now that is good advice is it not !.

Then he said...." A plastic surgeon's office the only place where no one gets offended when you pick your nose! ". Which has nothing to do with this thread whatsoever !.

What , me worry ??.
 
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Yonmon - whilst it was mentioned by someone that yesterday's result made no difference (because Exeter drew) it did make a difference. Any match where we don't gain ground means the points/match we need to gain on other teams increases.

I think we now need to win all but one game. I think yesterday showed us (as if we didn't already know) that whilst we MAY be the best team in the league we are not head and shoulders above every team. At some point, in any of the remaining matches, there will be an unlucky break or an unlucky injury or decision that sinks us.

When i look back to November/December I'm absolutely perplexed as to how we lost so many games when fundamentally not a lot has changed. Damn.
 
lord didsbury said:
yonmon - whilst it was mentioned by someone that yesterday's result made no difference (because exeter drew) it did make a difference. Any match where we don't gain ground means the points/match we need to gain on other teams increases.

I think we now need to win all but one game. I think yesterday showed us (as if we didn't already know) that whilst we may be the best team in the league we are not head and shoulders above every team. At some point, in any of the remaining matches, there will be an unlucky break or an unlucky injury or decision that sinks us.

When i look back to november/december i'm absolutely perplexed as to how we lost so many games when fundamentally not a lot has changed. Damn.
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qed ?.
 
Lord Didsbury said:
Yonmon - whilst it was mentioned by someone that yesterday's result made no difference (because Exeter drew) it did make a difference. Any match where we don't gain ground means the points/match we need to gain on other teams increases.

I think we now need to win all but one game. I think yesterday showed us (as if we didn't already know) that whilst we MAY be the best team in the league we are not head and shoulders above every team. At some point, in any of the remaining matches, there will be an unlucky break or an unlucky injury or decision that sinks us.

When i look back to November/December I'm absolutely perplexed as to how we lost so many games when fundamentally not a lot has changed. Damn.
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Way i look at it LordD, Nov/Dec,we were creating chances but NOT taking many, only thing to me thats changed,is now we are?
 
Compared to Nov/Dec we started grinding out a few good results with the likes of rodak, mcconville and particularly​ mccartain getting on form. They have proved the difference in getting some of the draws and wins and the rest of the team has gained confidence and momentum.

Sent from my XT1039 using Tapatalk
 
When i look back to November/December I'm absolutely perplexed as to how we lost so many games when fundamentally not a lot has changed. Damn.[/QUOTE]

back in those dark days the problem was we played well until we got into the last quarter of the pitch and then nothing happened and we never looked likely to score a goal. then at the other end of the pitch you,d parrish and chapman who always gave hope to the opposition.
 
Projected final points totals based on last 10 games. Borrowed from PASOTI.
Grimsby away feels like a long time ago now.

89.2 Doncaster Rovers
85.5 Plymouth Argyle
82.0 Portsmouth

78.1 Stevenage
73.3 Blackpool
69.8 Luton Town
68.5 Mansfield Town

67.4 Accrington Stanley
66.7 Exeter City
66.1 Colchester United
 
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Oh baby!
Even Coleman muttered the P word last night in his interview.

We've yet to play Plymouth and Stevenage plus Blackpool and Luton.
 
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