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Football Betting Mugs Game ?
Just before Christmas I had a few football bets, Man Utd to beat Rovers £42 @ 1/7 which would have been a mighty £6 return.A few days before that I lost £20 backing Liverpool to beat Rovers at Anfield, 1-1 was the score. I even had £100 on Celtic @ 1/5 to win at home to St Johnstone, somehow St Johnstone won 1-0 !!!
So at the beginning of 2012 I was £160 down on my bets. Since then I have had 15 consecutive wins on single bets. My losses are down to £81 and i'm on my way to beating the bookmakers. Keep in touch on this thread to see me get back into positive equity. Betting singles is the way to beat the Bookies. You might be surprised that I backed against my own team, but betting should have no sentiment, and you should only bet on things you know about. Lets have some feed back. I will post a team to win when I see one, this midweek I will leave alone. I do fancy Arsenal to beat Newcastle tonight. |
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Ya never see a poor bookie, a fool and his money are soon parted, and bookies love fools
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Betting singles is the way to lose. When I have the occasional bet I usually do a lucky 31 or a lucky 63, this way if only one of your teams wins at least you get something back.
Lucky 31 A lucky 31 consists of 31 bets involving 5 selections in different events, 5 singles, 10 doubles, 10 trebles and 5 four-folds and 1 five-fold. Any one winning selection guarantees a return. Lucky 63 A lucky 63 consists of 63 bets involving 6 selections in different events, 6 singles, 15 doubles, 20 trebles, 15 four-folds, 6 five-folds and 1 six-fold. Any one winning selection guarantees a return. |
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when i wrote betting single's i actually meant just backing one team and one team only. Im going to win my money back gradually, maybe a fiver at a time, there will of coarse be the occasional loss. I keep a record of all of my bets. I only bet amounts that i can afford too.
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I bet on the footie, the amount of times I have been just "one off" is unreal!!
I dont bet big amounts just a couple of quid on prob 3 different accum's but its a bit of fun. This week I am betting on the gee gee's at Cheltenham, again not much money and I am backing em each way. :D |
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On Friday i will let you all know who i am backing, and how much i am putting on. Most people who go into the bookies are not disciplined enough, or 'reach too far'. Bookies just love these type's and they are the one's who make them rich. Once i have a decent 'pot' of winnings i will put 10% of that onto my bet, and my winnings will grow gradually, as they are this year. |
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To give you an example, years ago...I used to work with a lad who stuck large sums ( and I'm talking thousands ) on such bankers....Mainly the big teams.....Man U, Chelsea, Arsenal but he always lumped on Rangers & Celtic in a big way !!! Fair enough, his "bankers" won quite regularly, but when they came unstuck he ended up losing big time.... I never forgot one morning after a Rangers game....He'd staked £7k @ 1/7 on just to win £1k....Rangers were winning 1-0 up until injury time and then wallop....the opposition equalized !!!:eek: He had a face like a bulldog sucking on a wasp after that one !!!:o And talking of bankers....whilst watching Cheltenham this week, I heard in commentary that somebody on the racecourse had staked £130k on Hurricane Fly @ 8/13 to win the Champion Hurdle to win an extra £80k....I'll bet whoever placed that bet felt a bit of a "banker" after that race:rolleyes: |
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Backing 1 match gives you a 1 in 3 chance of winning. backing 2 games is a 1 in 9 chance and so on. Went to bookies tonight to put my Man City bet on and came out with a profit before i left the shop. |
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My moneys on Tottenham to beat Bolton, lets see how it goes...
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They were 1/3 had £21 on to win back £7.
Will get money back as game didn't finish... |
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Well it had to happen some time, I backed Celtic 1/3 to beat Kilmarnock, and they lost 1-0.
That's the second time this season Celtic have let me down. I had £21 on em. Just checked and it's actually 14 straight single wins on the trot. There's been a couple of double winners in there too. So I just hope I can get a winning streak in double figures again. :eek: |
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I backed Sheff Wed to beat Walsall, last Tuesday, I was walking down to Ewood to see the Sunderland game and detoured to Dyson Street bookies near to the Infirmary, and stuck a £10 on oops they drew 2-2. another £10 to a grateful bookies.
At the weekend i backed Southampton 4/11 to beat Doncaster, £11 to win £4. I've also done a £1 4 fold, Arsenal, Tranmere, Crewe and Man Utd, that will be £7.50 back, just need United to do Fulham on Monday night. Backed Man Utd £20 on Sunday afternoon, £5 back if they win. |
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I wouldn't touch Liverpool with a barge pole at the moment...
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Man City have an uphill battle to win league (and refs over) Hope City do it, but United are the Mafia, you can't cross 'em. |
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I wer going to put a £2 on Aldershot and Crawley last night but the t'other half made me doubt my Crawley bet so I swapped it for Crystal Palace.
Aldershot won and so did crawley but surprise surprise Crystal Palace drew. I have told the t'other half that he now owees me £20 coz that is what I would have won if I didnt listen to him! ;) |
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Heth, what do fellas know about football?:D
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Exactly, I wernt impressed last night I tell you!!
I have told him that I aint gonna listen to him anymore but then he said thats nowt new!! The cheek I tell you!! :D |
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Jaysay, you should only gamble on things you know about, or at least research.
I was gonna have a small flutter on Tottenham versus bolton, but i decided against it. If in doubt leave it out. |
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Horse racing is very difficult to predict, everyone in the betting shop has their own thoughts on a race, but no one divulges their opinion to another gambler. That's where the bookies make their money. This weekends football, my money is going on Fleetwood to win at Bath. It's a top versus bottom. They are priced at 1/3 at Coral's. Keeping bets simple is the way forward...slowly but surely... |
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If I was going big I'd bang on City to beat Sunderland and a draw Rovers v UTD..got to get 2/1 for the double.
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For me ......nice little treble for today....
Arsenal to win at QPR (4/7) Sheff U to win at Hartlepool ( EVS ) Gillingham (home win) to beat Hereford (8/13) |
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There are lots of strange results this time of the season, Rovers got a 0-0 at Arsenal this time last season. My Fleetwood bet was a safe one bottom versus top. I'm recouping my losses slowly but surely. |
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£12.22 on Rovers/United to draw @ 11/4 = 12.22 x 15/4= £45.83 That works out at about 7/2 :dancedog: |
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There is another way of beating the bookies too, its called an agio bet, this is when bookies offer different odds on a one versus one, like a snooker match. They might not agree on who's the favourite, and offer contrasting odds, say player 1 is 4/5 favourite and player 2 is 11/10, whereas the other bookie might offer player 1 as 11/10 and player 2 as 4/5 favourite, so you back both players at 11/10 and cannot lose. It does occur like this sometimes. I think there are web sites that offer AGIO ALERTS. You would need to have many accounts with the various bookmakers around to take advantage of this. I'm stuck in at work all day so i cant take advantage. |
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I have to say I've always made a killing on the betting game throughout my life and I'm now clocking 66, I've kept my money firmly in my pocket and I'm quids in:D
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When I'd just turned eighteen a few moons ago I put a quid on a thirteen fold got 200 odd back. The same week put 2quid on a 10 fold on the Tuesday night games got a hundred and odd back. I thought "Bloody hell I'm printing money here!!"......Never won since. :)
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Had a bad Easter weekend on the betting front, i had £20 on Wrexham who got beaten at home by Alfreton, then i had a £5 on Southampton to beat Portsmouth, oh dear £25 down.
I went back to a less risky bet on Tuesday night, i backed a draw on Rovers versus Liverpool (£30 at 12/5) I also backed Liverpool (£50 at 11/10) so i got £105 back with an outlay of £80 resulting in a £25 profit, on the night, and a retrieval of the weekends losses. If Rovers had won it would have been worth £80 to me. Bad set of results tonight with Wigan and Q.P.R. both winning. It leaves Rovers and Bolton in the bottom 3. I think we are relegated, and its all the Venkys fault.:mad: |
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I have had a good week,
Bet £2.50 on Bubba at the golf and won £30. Bet on a five fold, Newcastle,Swindon,Shrewsbury,Stanley and Sheffield Weds and that came in on Monday. Bet a £1 on Wigan last night and that made me a tenner, then had a treble on Man City + QPR + Ross County last night and that made me £20. Happy Days! :D |
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Knew that were coming from you! :D
Cant unfortunatly I am working, thats why I have been quiet recently and you aint seen me. All work and no play. At least I am saving money and winning it at the same time! ;) |
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I've backed Fleetwood tonight, they were losing 0-2, but have got it back to 2-2. A good half hour to go, so here's hoping...
William Hills coupon showed them at 4/11 the same as Corals. I checked the coupon before handing over the money, and Fleetwood's price had gone out to 1/4, but the woman behind the counter didn't tell me about the price change. Coral's tell you when price's change. No more William Hill's for me. Good luck anyone betting on the Grand National, I for one wont be having a dabble. :dancedog: |
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Seems yeh lost again, it finished 2-2, yer right its a mugs game.:D
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I left Fleetwood well alone! :D
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My bets today is...............
Stanley,Shrewsbury,Swindon & Torquay £2 = £33.92 Mansfield,Stockport & York £2 = £14 Sunderland,Swansea,Birmingham,Livingston,Airdrie £1 = £14.80 Hopefully all three will come in! |
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Nah they are gonna tup your lot and win me some money!! :D
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:lol:
Have you heard...................... |
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Of course Sunderland are better than Wolves! Or do you have insider info that they are going to get beat today?!
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Stanley,Shrewsbury,Swindon & Torquay £2 = £33.92 Stanley & Torquay let me down.
Mansfield,Stockport & York £2 = £14 Stockpot & York let me down. Sunderland,Swansea,Birmingham,Livingston,Airdrie £1 = £14.80 Sunderland,Birmingham & Livingston let me down. So there we go has my winning streak run out..................................at least Swansea won John ;) :hidewall: |
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I had £25 on Swansea (21/20 at Paddy Power) to beat my Rovers, that got me £51.25 back, also had £15 on the draw 12/5. So I actually made 25p profit this weekend. I might pile on Man United tomorrow.:hothothot |
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Right good for you making 25p this weekend! :rolleyes: |
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Its all about recouping my losses, then when im in profit, a steady income each week would be nice. |
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Most people are looking for an unlikely 10 fold to come up. I do know what i'm doing, I have done my research, and learned from my previous betting mistakes. I could write a book on betting... :jimbo: |
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But, I agree that the bookies are the only ones who make money. Whatever the odds, they are stacked in their favor. |
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It is easier to read but there is always some upsets! I do it for the thrill of maybe winning not for making big bucks really, thats why I dont bet alot of money. I work hard so why cant I have a bit of fun! If I didnt have the money I wouldnt bet simple. |
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Southend made me my money this weekend, beating Barnet, but I also backed the draw.
If I had known Man United's result I would have lumped on Man City to thump Wolves. Steady profit...a bit too steady... Rovers need a miracle to stay up, so it's money on Spurs next Sunday, an insurance bet I suppose you could call it. Will a point be enough for Rovers? maybe if we beat Wigan, and Newcastle beat Wigan,and x beat y and ... |
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An early one here for you all, get your spare money on Crawley to beat Hereford, because 3
more points and they are up. Not sure what the price will be. |
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Is NFL american football? If it is, it's like rugby where the favourite team usually starts with a handicap, or the outsider is given several points start. |
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Correct, thats why I dont bet big! ;) If I lose a fiver then I think thats better than losing say £20 on a bet. If I bet a fiver and win £30/£40/£50 quid I am a happy bunny! I were very happy on the first day of the season, bet a pound and won £126! :eek: Now that were a good day! Bet for the thrill not for the win because then if you do win its a bonus! :) |
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Not a chance!! :D Just trying to decide on this weeks games, any suggestions? :) |
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Watched the Botham programme last night - the bookies apparently offered 500-1 against England winning the Headingley test and Lillee & Marsh placed a bet - Marsh said £5 or so. What a scoop that was.
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You need to allocate a self determined amount, say £100 to us on your bets. Put 10% (£10) on your bet, (not too many teams, be realistic). If you win then you can put 10% on the next bet and so on. As I always say KEEP YOUR BETS S I M P L E !!! Good luck this weekend. Crawley, Southampton both need to win, and are playing lowly teams, so that would be my double (if i did doubles). I will be getting my coupons on Thursday evening from my dear old mum. Paddy Power do the best football prices. William Hill are awful:alright::alright: |
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Having studied this weekends coupon's, i'm going for Shrewsbury (2/5 Paddy Power) to beat Dagenham, who are safe, that's my single.
Might also do a treble, which is Southampton 3/10 Crawley 4/11 and Celtic 4/5 (all price's Paddy Power). So lets calculate what £5 will return, £5 x 13 = 65 divided by 10 = £6.50 x 15 = £97.50 divided by 11 = £8.86 x 9 = £79.74 divided by 5 =£15.95 so just over 2/1 Might have to do Spurs to beat my Rovers 4/9 at Corals...the draw is 7/2 at Paddy Power, might do both and hope Rovers win. :cool: |
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Bets for today,
Birmingham,Burnley and Leeds = £2.50 gives me £24.63 Aldershot,Morecambe,Shrewsbury and Stanley to draw = £2.50 gives me £52.81 Positive thoughts please for my bets!! ;) |
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2nds down aswell now.....................oh well! :D
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Told you Shrewsbury to win. Dagenham's season was finished, so the outcome didn't really matter to them.
I had a small amount on a treble, which went down thanks to Crawley, but i won more on the Shrews. Celtic or the draw on Sunday will increase my weekends profit. If the Gers do it i'm in trouble...:eek: |
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Just hope that Stanley can pee all over the Creepy's chips next Saturday and condemn the Creepies to the play offs.:D:D |
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Celtic are a good price 1/3 at Paddy Power to beat St Johnstone on Wednesday night.
Surely the Saints can't win twice at Parkhead in one season. I'm not having £100 on em this time round. Once bitten twice shy... |
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Once again i have given you lot a WINNER. I've had a small amount on Celtic.
Look out tonight for my weekend banker... You might say, "I could have told you Celtic would beat St Johnstone" well why did you not back 'em then? The price was crap, you'll say. Well a profit is a profit, it means you can put more money on your next bet.. My bundle of £10 notes is getting bigger, i will need a bigger elastic band to put round it soon, i'm not joking... Arsenal look like they could be the one to back, they are at home to Norwich, but there are others with good prices, like QPR Evens at home to Stoke. these are Coral prices, Paddy Power could be better prices...:mosher: |
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could have, didn't.
I put a "controlled" amount on. Another sensible amount on Arsenal tomorrow. I have a system that has been tweaked to perfection in the last few months. I cannot divulge my system, or should that be I don't want to divulge my system as it has taken a while to perfect. |
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I don't profess to have a system....If anything I look at the games and look for a nice "value" price which, if I predict the outcome correctly gives a nice return !! Take my last two bets for example..... I had £10 on the Hammers last night at 7/5 netting a £24 return & £14 profit so I shoved the £14 profit on Blackpool tonight at 11/8 & returned £33.25 with a further £19.25 profit!!!!! Mmmmmmnn nice!!! :D So tomorrow....I'll probably bank some of my winnings & I'll scale the stakes back down to a reasonable amount and look for some more "value". It certainly won't be going on at any very short priced odds on games!!!:D Will post my selections later after having a bit of a study!!!:D |
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Don't leave us in suspenders ............. although I must say admiring myself in the mirror they're rather fetching to say the least, might just offer to buy myself a drink. ;) |
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Well...after much studying & deliberation....today I'm going for :
Shrewsbury to win at AFC Wimbledon @ 11/10. Tranmere to record a home win over Scunthorpe @ 21/20 Torquay to win at Hereford @ 5/4. I'll probably do a £2.50 patent covering singles, doubles and trebles.....total stake £17.50..Here's hoping !!:o |
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